Projected Income Statement: Dollarama Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Dollarama Inc.

Fiscal Period: February 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,444 1,823 2,151 1,950 2,160 3,814 3,861 3,492
Change - 26.25% 17.99% -9.34% 10.77% 76.57% 1.23% -9.56%
Announcement Date 31/3/21 30/3/22 29/3/23 4/4/24 3/4/25 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Dollarama Inc.

Fiscal Period: February 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 167.8 159.5 156.8 278.8 246.9 321.3 353.3 315.4
Change - -4.96% -1.68% 77.75% -11.44% 30.14% 9.98% -10.75%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 721.2 906.4 712.2 1,252 1,397 1,066 1,145 -
Change - 25.67% -21.42% 75.82% 11.59% -23.74% 7.42% -100%
Announcement Date 31/3/21 30/3/22 29/3/23 4/4/24 3/4/25 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Dollarama Inc.

Fiscal Period: February 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 28.08% 29.62% 30.15% 31.72% 33.09% 33.57% 34.21% 34.67%
EBIT Margin (%) 21.38% 22.74% 23.58% 25.49% 26.67% 27.5% 28.3% 28.75%
EBT Margin (%) 19.01% 20.63% 21.3% 23.02% 24.12% 24.29% 25.32% 24.56%
Net margin (%) 14.02% 15.31% 15.87% 17.22% 18.22% 19.01% 19.7% 20.05%
FCF margin (%) 17.91% 20.93% 14.1% 21.34% 21.79% 15.72% 15.75% -
FCF / Net Income (%) 127.8% 136.67% 88.82% 123.92% 119.57% 82.68% 79.94% -

Profitability

        
ROA 14.22% 16% 18.05% 20.04% 19.9% 18.95% 19.75% 20.2%
ROE 465.14% 493.39% - 493.8% 148.94% 87.53% 77.34% 69.95%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.28x 1.42x 1.41x 1.05x 1.02x 1.68x 1.55x 1.29x
Debt / Free cash flow 2x 2.01x 3.02x 1.56x 1.55x 3.58x 3.37x -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.17% 3.68% 3.1% 4.75% 3.85% 4.74% 4.86% 4.03%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 14.84% 12.44% 10.3% 14.98% 11.63% 14.12% 14.21% 11.62%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 23.27% 17.6% 22.02% 22.26% 17.67% 30.15% 30.87% -

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.845 3.501 2.986 5.388 5.855 - - -
Change - 23.05% -14.71% 80.4% 8.67% - - -
Dividend per Share 1 0.1853 0.2012 0.2212 0.2832 0.368 0.4333 0.4983 0.6066
Change - 8.58% 9.94% 28.03% 29.94% 17.74% 15% 21.73%
Book Value Per Share 1 - - 0.0982 - 4.231 6.555 7.539 9.04
Change - - - - - 54.92% 15.01% 19.91%
EPS 1 1.81 2.18 2.76 3.56 4.16 4.659 5.287 5.874
Change - 20.44% 26.61% 28.99% 16.85% 12.01% 13.46% 11.1%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 310,266 296,965 286,272 278,755 277,200 277,147 277,147 277,147
Announcement Date 31/3/21 30/3/22 29/3/23 4/4/24 3/4/25 - - -
1CAD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 41.1x 36.2x
PBR 29.2x 25.4x
EV / Sales 8.39x 7.83x
Yield 0.23% 0.26%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
AA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
191.50CAD
Average target price
197.40CAD
Spread / Average Target
+3.08%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. DOL Stock
  4. Financials Dollarama Inc.