Projected Income Statement: Dollarama Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Dollarama Inc.

Fiscal Period: February 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,444 1,823 2,151 1,950 2,160 5,020 4,934 4,522
Change - 26.25% 17.99% -9.34% 10.77% 132.41% -1.71% -8.35%
Announcement Date 31/3/21 30/3/22 29/3/23 4/4/24 3/4/25 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Dollarama Inc.

Fiscal Period: February 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 167.8 159.5 156.8 278.8 246.9 268.4 474.1 338.4
Change - -4.96% -1.68% 77.75% -11.44% 8.71% 76.66% -28.63%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 721.2 906.4 712.2 1,252 1,397 1,256 1,215 1,399
Change - 25.67% -21.42% 75.82% 11.59% -10.12% -3.27% 15.14%
Announcement Date 31/3/21 30/3/22 29/3/23 4/4/24 3/4/25 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Dollarama Inc.

Fiscal Period: February 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 28.08% 29.62% 30.15% 31.72% 33.09% 32.86% 32.58% 33.55%
EBIT Margin (%) 21.38% 22.74% 23.58% 25.49% 26.67% 26.66% 26.48% 27.85%
EBT Margin (%) 19.01% 20.63% 21.3% 23.02% 24.12% 24.14% 23.91% 24.88%
Net margin (%) 14.02% 15.31% 15.87% 17.22% 18.22% 17.96% 17.74% 18.51%
FCF margin (%) 17.91% 20.93% 14.1% 21.34% 21.79% 17.34% 14.99% 16.2%
FCF / Net Income (%) 127.8% 136.67% 88.82% 123.92% 119.57% 96.5% 84.49% 87.56%

Profitability

        
ROA 14.22% 16% 18.05% 20.04% 19.9% 18.02% 18.32% 20%
ROE 465.14% 493.39% - 493.8% 148.94% 88% 73.57% 70%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.28x 1.42x 1.41x 1.05x 1.02x 2.11x 1.87x 1.56x
Debt / Free cash flow 2x 2.01x 3.02x 1.56x 1.55x 4x 4.06x 3.23x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.17% 3.68% 3.1% 4.75% 3.85% 3.7% 5.85% 3.92%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 14.84% 12.44% 10.3% 14.98% 11.63% 11.27% 17.96% 11.68%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 23.27% 17.6% 22.02% 22.26% 17.67% 21.37% 39.03% 24.19%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.845 3.501 2.986 5.388 5.855 6.3 7.25 -
Change - 23.05% -14.71% 80.4% 8.67% 7.6% 15.08% -
Dividend per Share 1 0.1853 0.2012 0.2212 0.2832 0.368 0.4186 0.4826 0.5446
Change - 8.58% 9.94% 28.03% 29.94% 13.76% 15.29% 12.85%
Book Value Per Share 1 - - 0.0982 - 4.231 5.506 6.439 7.881
Change - - - - - 30.13% 16.94% 22.38%
EPS 1 1.81 2.18 2.76 3.56 4.16 4.702 5.279 5.976
Change - 20.44% 26.61% 28.99% 16.85% 13.03% 12.27% 13.19%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 310,266 296,965 286,272 278,755 277,200 272,731 272,731 272,731
Announcement Date 31/3/21 30/3/22 29/3/23 4/4/24 3/4/25 - - -
1CAD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 42x 37.4x
PBR 35.9x 30.7x
EV / Sales 8.13x 7.26x
Yield 0.21% 0.24%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
16
Last Close Price
197.61CAD
Average target price
212.12CAD
Spread / Average Target
+7.35%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. DOL Stock
  4. Financials Dollarama Inc.