Projected Income Statement: Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd.

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,148,439 1,196,529 1,352,724 1,159,117 1,030,612 1,409,425 1,432,025 1,449,825
Change - 4.19% 13.05% -14.31% -11.09% 36.76% 1.6% 1.24%
Announcement Date 11/5/21 10/5/22 9/5/23 14/5/24 13/5/25 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd.

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 151,414 118,798 98,688 68,137 111,362 319,133 223,800 223,800
Change - -21.54% -16.93% -30.96% 63.44% 186.57% -29.87% 0%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 60,615 27,313 37,235 311,586 358,228 65,400 79,933 83,133
Change - -54.94% 36.33% 736.81% 14.97% -81.74% 22.22% 4%
Announcement Date 11/5/21 10/5/22 9/5/23 14/5/24 13/5/25 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd.

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 5.44% 8.21% 4.19% 5.11% 2.81% 2.98% 4.12% 3.96%
EBIT Margin (%) 3.07% 6.5% 2.99% 3.97% 1.76% 0.63% 2.3% 2.39%
EBT Margin (%) 1.42% 5.8% 3.68% 3.75% 1.72% 0.98% 2.44% 2.53%
Net margin (%) 0.77% 4.18% 2.68% 2.62% 1.13% 0.95% 1.85% 1.86%
FCF margin (%) 1.33% 0.41% 0.39% 3.57% 3.9% 0.84% 1.02% 1.06%
FCF / Net Income (%) 173.58% 9.77% 14.68% 136.35% 344.27% 88.4% 54.89% 57.28%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.76% 10.74% 6.79% 7.8% 4.39% 1.17% 3.1% 3.2%
ROE 3% 21.8% 16.8% 13.4% 5.9% 4.24% 8.15% 8.1%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 4.63x 2.18x 3.41x 2.6x 4x 6.07x 4.42x 4.68x
Debt / Free cash flow 18.95x 43.81x 36.33x 3.72x 2.88x 21.55x 17.92x 17.44x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.32% 1.78% 1.04% 0.78% 1.21% 4.1% 2.85% 2.87%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 61.09% 21.65% 24.9% 15.3% 43.19% 137.48% 69% 72.27%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 249.8% 434.95% 265.04% 21.87% 31.09% 487.97% 279.98% 269.21%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 89.53 299.1 241 231.3 149.4 168.4 278.9 -
Change - 234.04% -19.43% -4% -35.42% 12.73% 65.64% -
Dividend per Share 1 24 24 24 32 36 38 40.29 42
Change - 0% 0% 33.33% 12.5% 5.56% 6.02% 4.26%
Book Value Per Share 1 774.3 949.9 1,102 1,305 1,405 1,419 1,517 1,623
Change - 22.68% 16.01% 18.43% 7.63% 1.02% 6.87% 6.99%
EPS 1 23.49 188 170.7 161.3 77.83 53.38 125.4 126.4
Change - 700.33% -9.23% -5.48% -51.75% -31.42% 134.96% 0.78%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,486,359 1,486,530 1,478,907 1,384,646 1,224,637 1,224,637 1,224,637 1,224,637
Announcement Date 11/5/21 10/5/22 9/5/23 14/5/24 13/5/25 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 17.2x 7.33x
PBR 0.65x 0.61x
EV / Sales 0.33x 0.33x
Yield 4.14% 4.38%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
AA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
7
Last Close Price
918.80JPY
Average target price
1,004.29JPY
Spread / Average Target
+9.30%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 5019 Stock
  4. Financials Idemitsu Kosan Co.,Ltd.