Projected Income Statement: Lufthansa

Forecast Balance Sheet: Lufthansa

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 9,023 6,871 5,682 5,744 - 5,967 5,311 3,778
Change - -23.85% -17.3% 1.09% - - -10.99% -28.86%
Announcement Date 3/3/22 3/3/23 7/3/24 6/3/25 6/3/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Lufthansa

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,329 2,286 4,115 3,743 3,290 3,652 3,564
Change - 72.01% 80.01% -9.04% - 11.01% -2.41%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -855 2,882 2,134 840 1,377 1,383 1,414
Change - 437.08% -25.95% -60.64% - 0.4% 2.27%
Announcement Date 3/3/22 3/3/23 7/3/24 6/3/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Lufthansa

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 0.2% 11.55% 13.85% 10.6% 10.93% 11.28% 11.86% 12.55%
EBIT Margin (%) -13.97% 4.6% 7.57% 4.38% 4.95% 5.28% 5.98% 6.53%
EBT Margin (%) -15.5% 3.2% 6.54% 4.19% 4.85% 4.26% 5.26% 5.98%
Net margin (%) -13.03% 2.41% 4.72% 3.67% 3.38% 3.61% 4.12% 4.56%
FCF margin (%) -5.09% 8.79% 6.02% 2.24% - 3.32% 3.16% 3.15%
FCF / Net Income (%) 39.02% 364.35% 127.56% 60.87% - 91.94% 76.67% 69.07%

Profitability

        
ROA -5.34% 1.84% 3.77% 2.99% - 2.3% 3.58% 3.85%
ROE -75.59% 12.31% 18.62% 13.02% - 11.58% 12.94% 12.97%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 273.42x 1.81x 1.16x 1.44x - 1.28x 1.02x 0.67x
Debt / Free cash flow -10.55x 2.38x 2.66x 6.84x - 4.33x 3.84x 2.67x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 7.91% 6.98% 11.61% 9.96% - 7.93% 8.35% 7.93%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 4,027.27% 60.38% 83.81% 94% - 70.34% 70.39% 63.2%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -155.44% 79.32% 192.83% 445.6% - 238.93% 264.16% 252.05%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.8367 4.325 4.138 3.228 - 3.293 3.609 3.982
Change - 416.88% -4.32% -21.99% - - 9.6% 10.35%
Dividend per Share 1 - - 0.3 0.3 - 0.3508 0.413 0.4344
Change - - - 0% - - 17.71% 5.18%
Book Value Per Share 1 3.722 7.031 8.083 9.645 - 10.24 12.12 13.28
Change - 88.88% 14.97% 19.33% - - 18.33% 9.57%
EPS 1 -2.99 0.66 1.4 1.15 1.12 1.247 1.504 1.715
Change - 122.07% 112.12% -17.86% -2.61% 11.33% 20.59% 14.06%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,195,486 1,195,486 1,195,486 1,198,299 1,198,293 1,199,265 1,199,265 1,199,265
Announcement Date 3/3/22 3/3/23 7/3/24 6/3/25 6/3/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 6.58x 5.45x
PBR 0.8x 0.68x
EV / Sales 0.38x 0.35x
Yield 4.28% 5.03%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
8.202EUR
Average target price
8.958EUR
Spread / Average Target
+9.22%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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