Projected Income Statement: Shell plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Shell plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 52,555 44,837 43,541 38,809 45,687 43,815 39,610 36,764
Change - -14.69% -2.89% -10.87% 17.72% -4.1% -9.6% -7.19%
Announcement Date 3/2/22 2/2/23 1/2/24 30/1/25 5/2/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Shell plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 19,000 22,600 22,993 19,601 18,947 20,797 20,833 21,126
Change - 18.95% 1.74% -14.75% -3.34% 9.77% 0.17% 1.41%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 40,345 45,814 36,460 39,530 26,052 29,195 26,506 27,585
Change - 13.56% -20.42% 8.42% -34.1% 12.06% -9.21% 4.07%
Announcement Date 3/2/22 2/2/23 1/2/24 30/1/25 5/2/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Shell plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 21.03% 22.1% 21.65% 23.14% 21.03% 22.06% 21.52% 20.93%
EBIT Margin (%) 12.52% 16.42% 11.76% 15.16% 12.73% 14.78% 13.32% 12.56%
EBT Margin (%) 11.41% 17% 10.31% 10.52% 11.15% 13.06% 12.53% 11.56%
Net margin (%) 7.69% 11.1% 6.11% 5.66% 6.68% 8.54% 8.47% 8.21%
FCF margin (%) 15.43% 12.01% 11.52% 13.9% 9.76% 9.22% 9.05% 9.35%
FCF / Net Income (%) 200.71% 108.28% 188.33% 245.63% 146.05% 107.93% 106.84% 113.84%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.92% 9.41% 6.7% 5.97% 4.89% 8.19% 6.95% 6.04%
ROE 11.79% 23.35% 15% 13% 10.51% 15.99% 12.87% 12.06%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.96x 0.53x 0.64x 0.59x 0.81x 0.63x 0.63x 0.6x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.3x 0.98x 1.19x 0.98x 1.75x 1.5x 1.49x 1.33x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 7.27% 5.93% 7.26% 6.89% 7.1% 6.57% 7.11% 7.16%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 34.54% 26.81% 33.55% 29.79% 33.75% 29.78% 33.05% 34.19%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 47.09% 49.33% 63.06% 49.59% 72.73% 71.24% 78.59% 76.59%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.778 9.232 7.97 8.593 7.206 9.208 8.808 9.307
Change - 59.79% -13.67% 7.82% -16.15% 27.79% -4.35% 5.67%
Dividend per Share 1 0.8935 0.99 1.294 1.39 1.446 1.561 1.628 1.688
Change - 10.8% 30.66% 7.46% 4.03% 7.94% 4.3% 3.66%
Book Value Per Share 1 22.38 27.2 28.6 29.16 30.5 32.64 35.69 38.48
Change - 21.53% 5.16% 1.95% 4.59% 7.02% 9.36% 7.8%
EPS 1 2.57 5.71 2.85 2.53 3 5.264 4.672 4.82
Change - 122.18% -50.09% -11.23% 18.58% 75.46% -11.25% 3.18%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 7,640,301 7,003,503 6,524,109 6,115,031 5,720,615 5,570,941 5,570,941 5,570,941
Announcement Date 3/2/22 2/2/23 1/2/24 30/1/25 5/2/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 8.02x 9.04x
PBR 1.29x 1.18x
EV / Sales 0.88x 0.94x
Yield 3.7% 3.86%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
17
Last Close Price
42.21USD
Average target price
49.98USD
Spread / Average Target
+18.40%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. SHEL Stock
  4. Financials Shell plc