Projected Income Statement: Xinyi Solar Holdings Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Xinyi Solar Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 -3,178 550 2,707 7,681 11,553 9,694 9,615 9,966
Change - 117.31% 392.18% 183.75% 50.41% -16.09% -0.81% 3.65%
Announcement Date 1/3/21 28/2/22 27/2/23 28/2/24 28/2/25 - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Xinyi Solar Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 3,249 4,938 6,646 9,895 5,025 2,734 2,922 3,225
Change - 51.97% 34.58% 48.88% -49.22% -45.58% 6.86% 10.38%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 996.5 -1,310 -754.1 -4,105 -3,706 4,734 3,827 5,199
Change - -231.41% 42.41% -444.36% 9.72% 227.74% -19.15% 35.85%
Announcement Date 1/3/21 28/2/22 27/2/23 28/2/24 28/2/25 - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Xinyi Solar Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 54.47% 47.87% 33.45% 28.98% 20.04% 22.91% 25.05% 26.02%
EBIT Margin (%) 47.53% 40.55% 25.88% 22.13% 10.61% 11.9% 15.83% 17.58%
EBT Margin (%) 46.76% 40.89% 25.22% 20.92% 8.83% 9.88% 13.33% 15.21%
Net margin (%) 37.03% 30.65% 18.59% 15.72% 4.6% 6.63% 9.39% 10.47%
FCF margin (%) 8.09% -8.15% -3.67% -15.42% -15.83% 23.27% 16.26% 19.12%
FCF / Net Income (%) 21.85% -26.59% -19.74% -98.04% -344.18% 351.18% 173.19% 182.65%

Profitability

        
ROA 12.7% 10.65% 7.67% 7.54% 1.8% 2.29% 3.41% 4.3%
ROE 22.41% 17.33% 12.72% 13.57% 3.47% 3.93% 6.42% 8.02%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 0.07x 0.39x 1x 2.46x 2.08x 1.63x 1.41x
Debt / Free cash flow - -0.42x -3.59x -1.87x -3.12x 2.05x 2.51x 1.92x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 26.38% 30.74% 32.35% 37.16% 21.46% 13.44% 12.41% 11.86%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 48.44% 64.22% 96.72% 128.21% 107.11% 58.65% 49.54% 45.58%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 326.09% -377.11% -881.34% -241.05% -135.59% 57.76% 76.34% 62.03%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.5197 0.4031 0.6613 0.6504 0.1475 0.64 0.514 0.6268
Change - -22.43% 64.04% -1.65% -77.32% 333.96% -19.69% 21.94%
Dividend per Share 1 0.17 0.27 0.2 0.225 0.1068 0.0612 0.1097 0.1395
Change - 58.82% -25.93% 12.5% -52.54% -42.64% 79.05% 27.24%
Book Value Per Share 1 3.011 3.409 3.344 3.591 3.469 3.554 3.722 3.904
Change - 13.24% -1.92% 7.4% -3.41% 2.45% 4.72% 4.89%
EPS 1 0.5532 0.5556 0.4287 0.4703 0.1204 0.1468 0.2464 0.32
Change - 0.43% -22.84% 9.7% -74.41% 21.96% 67.87% 29.86%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 8,809,254 8,890,763 8,896,240 8,903,251 9,078,447 9,147,044 9,147,044 9,147,044
Announcement Date 1/3/21 28/2/22 27/2/23 28/2/24 28/2/25 - - -
1HKD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 21.6x 12.9x
PBR 0.89x 0.85x
EV / Sales 1.9x 1.64x
Yield 1.93% 3.46%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
22
Last Close Price
3.170HKD
Average target price
3.858HKD
Spread / Average Target
+21.70%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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