Projected Income Statement: Xinyi Solar Holdings Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Xinyi Solar Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 -3,178 550 2,707 7,681 11,553 11,406 12,227 13,421
Change - 117.31% 392.18% 183.75% 50.41% -1.28% 7.2% 9.77%
Announcement Date 1/3/21 28/2/22 27/2/23 28/2/24 28/2/25 - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Xinyi Solar Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 3,249 4,938 6,646 9,895 5,025 3,026 3,709 3,413
Change - 51.97% 34.58% 48.88% -49.22% -39.78% 22.57% -7.97%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 996.5 -1,310 -754.1 -4,105 -3,706 4,317 1,864 3,791
Change - -231.41% 42.41% -444.36% 9.72% 216.49% -56.83% 103.39%
Announcement Date 1/3/21 28/2/22 27/2/23 28/2/24 28/2/25 - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Xinyi Solar Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 54.47% 47.87% 33.45% 28.98% 20.04% 22.08% 24.51% 23.84%
EBIT Margin (%) 47.53% 40.55% 25.88% 22.13% 10.61% 13.38% 15.53% 15.93%
EBT Margin (%) 46.76% 40.89% 25.22% 20.92% 8.83% 12.11% 14.23% 15.23%
Net margin (%) 37.03% 30.65% 18.59% 15.72% 4.6% 8.41% 10.91% 10.7%
FCF margin (%) 8.09% -8.15% -3.67% -15.42% -15.83% 18.51% 6.95% 12.23%
FCF / Net Income (%) 21.85% -26.59% -19.74% -98.04% -344.18% 220.17% 63.74% 114.25%

Profitability

        
ROA 12.7% 10.65% 7.67% 7.54% 1.8% 3.4% 4.6% 5.56%
ROE 22.41% 17.33% 12.72% 13.57% 3.47% 5.49% 7.39% 9.01%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 0.07x 0.39x 1x 2.46x 2.22x 1.86x 1.82x
Debt / Free cash flow - -0.42x -3.59x -1.87x -3.12x 2.64x 6.56x 3.54x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 26.38% 30.74% 32.35% 37.16% 21.46% 12.98% 13.84% 11.01%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 48.44% 64.22% 96.72% 128.21% 107.11% 58.77% 56.46% 46.17%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 326.09% -377.11% -881.34% -241.05% -135.59% 70.09% 198.99% 90.04%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.5197 0.4031 0.6613 0.6504 0.1475 0.5398 0.5636 0.6515
Change - -22.43% 64.04% -1.65% -77.32% 266.02% 4.41% 15.6%
Dividend per Share 1 0.17 0.27 0.2 0.225 0.1068 0.0872 0.1194 0.1526
Change - 58.82% -25.93% 12.5% -52.54% -18.38% 37.01% 27.81%
Book Value Per Share 1 3.011 3.409 3.344 3.591 3.469 3.519 3.713 3.886
Change - 13.24% -1.92% 7.4% -3.41% 1.45% 5.52% 4.64%
EPS 1 0.5532 0.5556 0.4287 0.4703 0.1204 0.2193 0.3357 0.3777
Change - 0.43% -22.84% 9.7% -74.41% 82.22% 53.07% 12.51%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 8,809,254 8,890,763 8,896,240 8,903,251 9,078,447 9,078,447 9,078,447 9,078,447
Announcement Date 1/3/21 28/2/22 27/2/23 28/2/24 28/2/25 - - -
1HKD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 12.6x 8.22x
PBR 0.78x 0.74x
EV / Sales 1.56x 1.39x
Yield 3.16% 4.33%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
BBB
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
22
Last Close Price
2.760HKD
Average target price
3.956HKD
Spread / Average Target
+43.34%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 968 Stock
  4. Financials Xinyi Solar Holdings Limited