Projected Income Statement: Xinyi Solar Holdings Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Xinyi Solar Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 550 2,707 7,681 11,553 8,193 6,878 7,535 5,140
Change - 392.18% 183.75% 50.41% -29.08% -16.05% 9.55% -31.79%
Announcement Date 28/2/22 27/2/23 28/2/24 28/2/25 27/2/26 - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Xinyi Solar Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 4,938 6,646 9,895 5,025 2,888 2,849 2,989 3,130
Change - 34.58% 48.88% -49.22% -42.53% -1.36% 4.92% 4.73%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -1,310 -754.1 -4,105 -3,706 3,565 2,859 5,536 2,473
Change - 42.41% -444.36% 9.72% 196.19% -19.78% 93.6% -55.32%
Announcement Date 28/2/22 27/2/23 28/2/24 28/2/25 27/2/26 - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Xinyi Solar Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 47.87% 33.45% 28.98% 20.04% 17.57% 22.69% 25.02% 26.95%
EBIT Margin (%) 40.55% 25.88% 22.13% 10.61% 6.99% 14.66% 16% 17.23%
EBT Margin (%) 40.89% 25.22% 20.92% 8.83% 5.52% 13.26% 14.56% 15.88%
Net margin (%) 30.65% 18.59% 15.72% 4.6% 4.05% 9.31% 10.81% 11.58%
FCF margin (%) -8.15% -3.67% -15.42% -15.83% 14.94% 12.45% 21.93% 9.47%
FCF / Net Income (%) -26.59% -19.74% -98.04% -344.18% 369.11% 133.76% 202.87% 81.8%

Profitability

        
ROA 10.65% 7.67% 7.54% 1.8% 1.48% 2.93% 3.55% 3.74%
ROE 17.33% 12.72% 13.57% 3.47% 2.87% 5.89% 7.25% 7.99%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.07x 0.39x 1x 2.46x 1.95x 1.32x 1.19x 0.73x
Debt / Free cash flow -0.42x -3.59x -1.87x -3.12x 2.3x 2.41x 1.36x 2.08x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 30.74% 32.35% 37.16% 21.46% 12.11% 12.4% 11.84% 11.99%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 64.22% 96.72% 128.21% 107.11% 68.91% 54.67% 47.31% 44.48%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -377.11% -881.34% -241.05% -135.59% 81.02% 99.63% 53.99% 126.56%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.4031 0.6613 0.6504 0.1475 0.7096 0.5092 0.4812 0.631
Change - 64.04% -1.65% -77.32% 381.12% -28.23% -5.5% 31.12%
Dividend per Share 1 0.27 0.2 0.225 0.1068 0.05 0.1146 0.1418 0.165
Change - -25.93% 12.5% -52.54% -53.18% 129.24% 23.74% 16.36%
Book Value Per Share 1 3.409 3.344 3.591 3.469 3.742 3.867 4.044 4.21
Change - -1.92% 7.4% -3.41% 7.88% 3.33% 4.59% 4.09%
EPS 1 0.5556 0.4287 0.4703 0.1204 0.1062 0.2344 0.2933 0.3357
Change - -22.84% 9.7% -74.41% -11.74% 120.63% 25.15% 14.43%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 8,890,763 8,896,240 8,903,251 9,078,447 9,147,044 9,147,044 9,147,044 9,147,044
Announcement Date 28/2/22 27/2/23 28/2/24 28/2/25 27/2/26 - - -
1HKD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 12.2x 9.75x
PBR 0.74x 0.71x
EV / Sales 1.44x 1.33x
Yield 4.01% 4.96%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
17
Last Close Price
2.860HKD
Average target price
3.812HKD
Spread / Average Target
+33.30%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 968 Stock
  4. Financials Xinyi Solar Holdings Limited