Company Valuation: Alamos Gold Inc.

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Market Cap 1 3,014 3,980 5,355 7,746 16,228 12,422 - -
Change - 32.06% 34.55% 44.66% 109.5% -23.46% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 2,841 3,850 5,130 7,669 15,805 11,426 10,281 8,499
Change - 35.51% 33.25% 49.49% 106.09% -27.71% -10.02% -17.33%
P/E -45.2x 112x 25.5x 26.7x 18.4x 13.5x 8.44x 5.78x
PBR 1.1x 1.46x - - - - - -
PEG - -1x 0x 0.9x 0x 2.98x 0.1x 0.1x
Capitalization / Revenue 3.66x 4.85x 5.23x 5.75x 8.97x 5.38x 4.12x 3.4x
EV / Revenue 3.45x 4.69x 5.01x 5.69x 8.74x 4.95x 3.41x 2.33x
EV / EBITDA 7.07x 10.9x 10.5x 11.1x 14.7x 6.67x 4.27x 2.89x
EV / EBIT 191x 34.5x 16.1x 13.6x 14.4x 7.91x 4.73x 2.77x
EV / FCF 360x -253x 41.4x 28.2x 44.9x 21.3x 8.59x 5.28x
FCF Yield 0.28% -0.39% 2.41% 3.55% 2.23% 4.69% 11.6% 19%
Dividend per Share 2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 - 0.16 0.16 0.16
Rate of return 1.3% 0.99% 0.74% 0.54% - 0.54% 0.54% 0.54%
EPS 2 -0.17 0.09 0.53 0.69 2.1 2.195 3.51 5.13
Distribution rate -58.8% 111% 18.9% 14.5% - 7.29% 4.56% 3.12%
Net sales 1 823.6 821.2 1,023 1,347 1,809 2,307 3,018 3,651
EBITDA 1 402 351.7 486.4 691.5 1,074 1,714 2,407 2,945
EBIT 1 14.9 111.5 318.1 561.9 1,098 1,445 2,176 3,073
Net income 1 -66.7 37.1 210 284.3 885.8 922.3 1,470 2,150
Net Debt 1 -172.5 -129.8 -224.8 -77.2 -423.1 -996 -2,141 -3,923
Reference price 2 7.69 10.12 13.49 18.43 38.65 29.63 29.63 29.63
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 391,963 393,458 396,858 420,282 419,834 419,212 - -
Announcement Date 23/2/22 22/2/23 21/2/24 19/2/25 18/2/26 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

P/E, Detailed evolution

P/E (Y) EV / Sales (Y) EV / EBITDA (Y) Dividend Yield (Y) Capi.($)
13.5x4.95x6.67x0.54% 12.42B
9.51x3.47x5.46x1.11% 98.19B
11.37x4.33x5.96x1.16% 72.57B
10.29x2.74x3.95x2.3% 62.27B
22.73x13.41x16.11x0.69% 50.72B
8.99x3.04x4.49x5.09% 40.28B
8.27x2.69x4.19x0.63% 28.54B
16.92x3.81x7.08x2.58% 19.84B
18.56x8.94x10.81x0.96% 17.05B
10.96x2.84x4.56x - 15.65B
Average 13.11x 5.02x 6.93x 1.67% 41.76B
Weighted average by Cap. 12.32x 4.88x 6.73x 1.66%

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

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  4. Valuation Alamos Gold Inc.