Company Valuation: Swatch Group

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Market Cap 1 14,175 13,103 11,658 8,455 8,803 9,307 - -
Change - -7.56% -11.03% -27.47% 4.11% 5.73% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 11,619 10,565 9,672 7,081 7,610 8,171 8,148 8,136
Change - -9.07% -8.45% -26.78% 7.46% 7.37% -0.28% -0.15%
P/E 18.9x 16.9x 13.6x 44.1x 3,365x 39x 25.2x 19.4x
PBR 1.24x 1.13x 0.97x 0.7x 0.75x 0.8x 0.8x 0.79x
PEG - 3.16x 1.78x -0.6x -34.1x 0x 0.5x 0.7x
Capitalization / Revenue 1.94x 1.75x 1.48x 1.26x 1.4x 1.42x 1.34x 1.29x
EV / Revenue 1.59x 1.41x 1.23x 1.05x 1.21x 1.24x 1.18x 1.12x
EV / EBITDA 7.96x 6.75x 6.12x 9.84x 13.6x 10.8x 8.37x 7.12x
EV / EBIT 11.4x 9.12x 8.12x 23.3x 56.4x 24x 14.8x 11.5x
EV / FCF 11.6x 31.4x -56.9x -32.8x 136x 30.7x 10.9x 11.6x
FCF Yield 8.63% 3.19% -1.76% -3.05% 0.74% 3.26% 9.15% 8.59%
Dividend per Share 2 5.5 6 6.5 4.5 4.5 4.626 5.153 5.614
Rate of return 1.97% 2.28% 2.84% 2.73% 2.67% 2.57% 2.87% 3.12%
EPS 2 14.77 15.56 16.75 3.74 0.05 4.604 7.14 9.248
Distribution rate 37.2% 38.6% 38.8% 120% 9,000% 100% 72.2% 60.7%
Net sales 1 7,313 7,499 7,888 6,735 6,280 6,572 6,933 7,241
EBITDA 1 1,459 1,565 1,581 720 558 754.9 973 1,143
EBIT 1 1,021 1,158 1,191 304 135 339.9 550 707.1
Net income 1 765 807 869 193 3 230.6 363.9 463.6
Net Debt 1 -2,556 -2,538 -1,986 -1,374 -1,193 -1,137 -1,160 -1,172
Reference price 2 279.00 263.00 228.60 165.00 168.25 179.75 179.75 179.75
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 51,771 51,808 51,836 51,872 51,767 51,996 - -
Announcement Date 25/1/22 24/1/23 23/1/24 30/1/25 30/1/26 - - -
1CHF in Million2CHF
Estimates

P/E, Detailed evolution



P/E (Y) EV / Sales (Y) EV / EBITDA (Y) Dividend Yield (Y) Capi.($)
37.8x1.24x10.82x2.56% 11.28B
22.68x2.16x12.57x1.32% 5.07B
16.22x1.35x9.75x2.24% 3.61B
62.82x - - - 768M
17.18x - - - 543M
41.15x - - 0.44% 546M
-42.07x0.47x7.68x - 349M
Average 22.26x 1.31x 10.21x 1.64% 3.17B
Weighted average by Cap. 30.01x 1.48x 11.01x 2.14%

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA



Year-on-year evolution of the Yield