Projected Income Statement: Universal Robina Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Universal Robina Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -9,150 -1,489 4,329 1,066 5,815 5,394 9,251 2,665
Change - 83.73% 390.73% -75.38% 445.5% -7.25% 71.51% -71.19%
Announcement Date 31/3/22 3/4/23 16/4/24 17/3/25 13/3/26 - - -
1PHP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Universal Robina Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 13,200 9,135 10,215 5,977 6,383 7,644 7,900 7,999
Change - -30.79% 11.83% -41.49% 6.81% 19.75% 3.35% 1.25%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 266.8 2,216 3,067 14,298 4,890 7,722 9,509 10,189
Change - 730.6% 38.41% 366.16% -65.8% 57.91% 23.14% 7.15%
Announcement Date 31/3/22 3/4/23 16/4/24 17/3/25 13/3/26 - - -
1PHP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Universal Robina Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 15.8% 14.35% 15% 13.36% 13.11% 13.23% 13.21% 13.58%
EBIT Margin (%) 10.87% 10.14% 10.96% 10.29% 9.55% 9.72% 9.81% 10.27%
EBT Margin (%) 12.44% 11.66% 9.9% 9.59% 8.5% 9.03% 9.21% 9.59%
Net margin (%) 19.94% 9.31% 7.63% 7.06% 6.46% 6.85% 7.07% 7.25%
FCF margin (%) 0.23% 1.48% 1.94% 8.83% 2.91% 4.4% 5.16% 5.33%
FCF / Net Income (%) 1.14% 15.88% 25.37% 125.08% 45.05% 64.31% 73.02% 73.54%

Profitability

        
ROA 16% 9% 7% 6.76% 6.43% 6.78% 7.09% 7.27%
ROE 22% 12% 11% 10.11% 9.54% 9.53% 10.06% 10.45%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - 0.18x 0.05x 0.26x 0.23x 0.38x 0.1x
Debt / Free cash flow - - 1.41x 0.07x 1.19x 0.7x 0.97x 0.26x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 11.29% 6.09% 6.45% 3.69% 3.8% 4.36% 4.29% 4.18%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 71.43% 42.46% 43% 27.64% 28.97% 32.96% 32.48% 30.81%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 4,947.55% 412.23% 333.05% 41.8% 130.53% 98.98% 83.07% 78.5%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 6.111 5.194 4.643 8.85 5.27 7.999 8.838 9.236
Change - -15% -10.6% 90.59% -40.46% 51.79% 10.5% 4.5%
Dividend per Share 1 3.45 3.45 4 3.8 - 4.126 4.3 4.423
Change - 0% 15.94% -5% - - 4.21% 2.86%
Book Value Per Share 1 49.71 52.95 54.09 55.79 57.96 58.9 60.73 62.56
Change - 6.52% 2.15% 3.14% 3.89% 1.63% 3.11% 3.01%
EPS 1 10.58 6.39 5.55 5.39 4.77 5.55 5.984 6.437
Change - -39.6% -13.15% -2.88% -11.5% 16.35% 7.83% 7.56%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,200,983 2,178,508 2,177,423 2,149,197 2,137,894 2,133,002 2,133,002 2,133,002
Announcement Date 31/3/22 3/4/23 16/4/24 17/3/25 13/3/26 - - -
1PHP
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 10.5x 9.73x
PBR 0.99x 0.96x
EV / Sales 0.74x 0.72x
Yield 7.09% 7.39%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
B
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
11
Last Close Price
58.20PHP
Average target price
77.50PHP
Spread / Average Target
+33.16%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. URC Stock
  4. Financials Universal Robina Corporation