Projected Income Statement: Swatch Group

Forecast Balance Sheet: Swatch Group

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -2,556 -2,538 -1,986 -1,374 -1,193 -1,212 -1,227 -1,135
Change - 0.7% 21.75% 30.82% 13.17% -1.59% -1.24% 7.5%
Announcement Date 25/1/22 24/1/23 23/1/24 30/1/25 30/1/26 - - -
1CHF in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Swatch Group

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 295 387 785 549 451 419.4 420.3 432.6
Change - 31.19% 102.84% -30.06% -17.85% -7% 0.2% 2.94%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,003 337 -170 -216 56 526.8 502.4 248.7
Change - -66.4% -150.45% -27.06% 125.93% 840.62% -4.62% -50.5%
Announcement Date 25/1/22 24/1/23 23/1/24 30/1/25 30/1/26 - - -
1CHF in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Swatch Group

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 19.95% 20.87% 20.04% 10.69% 8.89% 12.1% 14.25% 15.62%
EBIT Margin (%) 13.96% 15.44% 15.1% 4.51% 2.15% 5.84% 8.05% 9.4%
EBT Margin (%) 13.82% 14.62% 14.6% 5.12% 2.52% 5.42% 7.11% 8.79%
Net margin (%) 10.46% 10.76% 11.02% 2.87% 0.05% 4.05% 5.48% 6.09%
FCF margin (%) 13.72% 4.49% -2.16% -3.21% 0.89% 8.21% 7.46% 3.55%
FCF / Net Income (%) 131.11% 41.76% -19.56% -111.92% 1,866.67% 202.8% 136.18% 58.32%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.76% 5.85% 6.18% 1.37% 0.02% 0.98% 1.58% 1.94%
ROE 6.82% 6.86% 7.19% 1.59% 0.03% 2.14% 3.06% 3.51%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.03% 5.16% 9.95% 8.15% 7.18% 6.53% 6.24% 6.18%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 20.22% 24.73% 49.65% 76.25% 80.82% 53.98% 43.83% 39.56%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 29.41% 114.84% -461.76% -254.17% 805.36% 79.62% 83.65% 173.96%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 25.06 13.96 11.86 6.44 9.76 11.32 13.95 16.67
Change - -44.29% -15.04% -45.7% 51.55% 16.01% 23.23% 19.5%
Dividend per Share 1 5.5 6 6.5 4.5 4.5 4.59 5.083 5.551
Change - 9.09% 8.33% -30.77% 0% 1.99% 10.74% 9.21%
Book Value Per Share 1 224.1 232.6 236.4 236.4 224.5 223.4 225.2 228.8
Change - 3.76% 1.65% -0.01% -5.01% -0.52% 0.81% 1.6%
EPS 1 14.77 15.56 16.75 3.74 0.05 5.042 7.53 9.502
Change - 5.35% 7.65% -77.67% -98.66% 9,984.72% 49.33% 26.19%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 51,771 51,808 51,836 51,872 51,767 51,996 51,996 51,996
Announcement Date 25/1/22 24/1/23 23/1/24 30/1/25 30/1/26 - - -
1CHF
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E Ratio 42.2x 28.3x
PBR 0.95x 0.95x
EV / Sales 1.52x 1.45x
Yield 2.16% 2.39%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
20
Last Close Price
212.80CHF
Average target price
165.14CHF
Spread / Average Target
-22.40%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

- 40% : Our Best Subscriber-Only Tools to Spot Tomorrow’s Top Investments!
d
:
:
SEIZE THE OFFER!