Projected Income Statement: KCE Electronics

Forecast Balance Sheet: KCE Electronics

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,703 2,680 460 -450 -533 -466 -761 -1,858
Change - 57.37% -82.84% -197.83% -18.44% 12.57% -63.3% -144.15%
Announcement Date 8/2/22 7/2/23 13/2/24 24/2/25 10/2/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: KCE Electronics

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,725 1,021 443.9 800.6 951.5 756.6 817.6 635.6
Change - -40.84% -56.51% 80.35% 18.85% -20.48% 8.07% -22.27%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 10.26 1,015 3,770 2,510 1,585 1,666 1,580 2,476
Change - 9,798.68% 271.34% -33.43% -36.84% 5.13% -5.19% 56.73%
Announcement Date 8/2/22 7/2/23 13/2/24 24/2/25 10/2/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: KCE Electronics

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 24.99% 18.03% 16.67% 17% 13.95% 17.98% 19.69% 19.63%
EBIT Margin (%) 18.13% 11.99% 9.97% 9.81% 5.55% 9.61% 12.51% 12.71%
EBT Margin (%) 17.96% 13.49% 11.5% 12.12% 7.38% 10.81% 12.98% 13.29%
Net margin (%) 16.24% 12.56% 10.52% 11.11% 6.37% 9.31% 11.14% 11.49%
FCF margin (%) 0.07% 5.5% 23.07% 16.92% 12.12% 11.56% 9.88% 14.87%
FCF / Net Income (%) 0.42% 43.81% 219.24% 152.24% 190.36% 124.12% 88.64% 129.4%

Profitability

        
ROA 12.34% 10.79% 8.56% 8.77% 4.58% 7.32% 9.22% 9.54%
ROE 19.11% 17.31% 12.7% 12.01% 6.19% 10.04% 13.24% 14.03%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.46x 0.81x 0.17x - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 166.05x 2.64x 0.12x - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 11.55% 5.53% 2.72% 5.4% 7.28% 5.25% 5.11% 3.82%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 46.22% 30.67% 16.29% 31.75% 52.15% 29.19% 25.96% 19.45%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 16,821.17% 100.54% 11.77% 31.9% 60.02% 45.4% 51.75% 25.67%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.466 1.72 3.565 2.8 2.146 2.21 2.6 2.8
Change - 17.3% 107.26% -21.45% -23.37% 2.99% 17.65% 7.69%
Dividend per Share 1 1 1.6 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.125 1.297 1.344
Change - 60% -25% 8.33% -7.69% -6.21% 15.21% 3.67%
Book Value Per Share 1 11.36 11.33 11.58 11.64 11.11 11.18 11.55 11.92
Change - -0.27% 2.22% 0.49% -4.5% 0.63% 3.29% 3.18%
EPS 1 2.05 1.96 1.45 1.39 0.7 1.141 1.507 1.619
Change - -4.39% -26.02% -4.14% -49.64% 63.02% 32.06% 7.47%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,181,590 1,181,966 1,182,089 1,182,089 1,182,089 1,182,089 1,182,089 1,182,089
Announcement Date 8/2/22 7/2/23 13/2/24 24/2/25 10/2/26 - - -
1THB
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 45.3x 34.3x
PBR 4.63x 4.48x
EV / Sales 4.21x 3.78x
Yield 2.17% 2.51%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
12
Last Close Price
51.75THB
Average target price
47.33THB
Spread / Average Target
-8.53%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise