Projected Income Statement: Orkla ASA

Forecast Balance Sheet: Orkla ASA

Forecast Balance Sheet - Orkla ASA
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 13,207 17,600 19,783 16,893 14,698 17,833 17,780 17,055
Change - 33.26% 12.4% -14.61% -12.99% 21.33% -0.3% -4.08%
Announcement Date 10/2/22 14/2/23 8/2/24 13/2/25 12/2/26 - - -
1NOK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Orkla ASA

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 2,606 2,777 2,921 1,981 2,444 2,464 2,649 2,815
Change - 6.56% 5.19% -32.18% 23.37% 0.83% 7.48% 6.27%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 3,747 2,453 4,328 7,669 6,827 6,570 5,899 6,597
Change - -34.53% 76.44% 77.2% -10.98% -3.76% -10.21% 11.83%
Announcement Date 10/2/22 14/2/23 8/2/24 13/2/25 12/2/26 - - -
1NOK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Orkla ASA

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 16.32% 16.56% 14.13% 15.21% 13.72% 14.18% 14.35% 14.45%
EBIT Margin (%) 11.36% 11.81% 9.2% 10.4% 9.9% 10.41% 10.65% 10.84%
EBT Margin (%) 12.62% 12.58% 10.27% 11.5% 11.71% 11.99% 12.23% 12.46%
Net margin (%) 9.53% 8.6% 7.66% 8.57% 16.04% 9.11% 9.02% 9.2%
FCF margin (%) 7.43% 4.2% 6.38% 10.85% 9.54% 9.35% 8.21% 8.87%
FCF / Net Income (%) 77.93% 48.87% 83.29% 126.61% 59.5% 102.59% 91.01% 96.38%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.72% 7.2% 6.9% 6.86% - - - -
ROE 13.63% 13.59% 13.27% 12.98% 23.73% 13.94% 14.97% 15.11%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.6x 1.82x 2.07x 1.57x 1.5x 1.79x 1.72x 1.59x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.52x 7.17x 4.57x 2.2x 2.15x 2.71x 3.01x 2.59x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.17% 4.76% 4.31% 2.8% 3.42% 3.51% 3.68% 3.78%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 31.66% 28.72% 30.5% 18.44% 24.89% 24.73% 25.69% 26.19%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 69.55% 113.21% 67.49% 25.83% 35.8% 37.51% 44.9% 42.66%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - - - - 9.278 8.281 8.353 9.019
Change - - - - - -10.75% 0.86% 7.98%
Dividend per Share 1 3 3 3 4 6 4.994 4.632 5.058
Change - 0% 0% 33.33% 50% -16.77% -7.25% 9.21%
Book Value Per Share 1 38.55 41.82 45.37 48.1 48.83 46.19 48.11 51.45
Change - 8.47% 8.5% 6.01% 1.51% -5.4% 4.16% 6.93%
EPS 1 4.82 5.04 5.21 6.06 11.48 6.554 6.881 7.316
Change - 4.56% 3.37% 16.31% 89.44% -42.91% 4.99% 6.31%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 995,929 997,144 997,605 999,118 989,802 961,731 961,731 961,731
Announcement Date 10/2/22 14/2/23 8/2/24 13/2/25 12/2/26 - - -
1NOK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 14.6x 14x
PBR 2.08x 2x
EV / Sales 1.57x 1.53x
Yield 5.2% 4.82%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Orkla ASA


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Orkla ASA
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Orkla ASA
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
MarketScreener Ratings - Orkla ASA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
8
Last Close Price
96.00NOK
Average target price
107.62NOK
Spread / Average Target
+12.11%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Orkla ASA
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