|
Real-time Estimate
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 41.88 CHF | +8.85% |
|
-6.17% | -12.87% |
| 06-18 | Swiss trade surplus at CHF 6.11 bln in May | RE |
| 06-13 | Gold fever sends some vintage luxury watches to the melting furnace | RE |
Company Valuation: Swatch Group
Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Cap 1 | 14,175 | 13,103 | 11,658 | 8,455 | 8,803 | 10,919 | - | - |
| Change | - | -7.56% | -11.03% | -27.47% | 4.11% | 24.04% | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 11,619 | 10,565 | 9,672 | 7,081 | 7,610 | 9,707 | 9,692 | 9,784 |
| Change | - | -9.07% | -8.45% | -26.78% | 7.46% | 27.56% | -0.16% | 0.95% |
| P/E | 18.9x | 16.9x | 13.6x | 44.1x | 3,365x | 41.7x | 28x | 21.8x |
| PBR | 1.24x | 1.13x | 0.97x | 0.7x | 0.75x | 0.95x | 0.94x | 0.92x |
| PEG | - | 3.16x | 1.78x | -0.6x | -34.1x | 0x | 0.6x | 0.8x |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 1.94x | 1.75x | 1.48x | 1.26x | 1.4x | 1.7x | 1.62x | 1.55x |
| EV / Revenue | 1.59x | 1.41x | 1.23x | 1.05x | 1.21x | 1.51x | 1.44x | 1.39x |
| EV / EBITDA | 7.96x | 6.75x | 6.12x | 9.84x | 13.6x | 12.5x | 10.1x | 8.84x |
| EV / EBIT | 11.4x | 9.12x | 8.12x | 23.3x | 56.4x | 25.9x | 17.9x | 14.7x |
| EV / FCF | 11.6x | 31.4x | -56.9x | -32.8x | 136x | 18.4x | 19.3x | 39.3x |
| FCF Yield | 8.63% | 3.19% | -1.76% | -3.05% | 0.74% | 5.43% | 5.18% | 2.54% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 5.5 | 6 | 6.5 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 4.587 | 5.076 | 5.524 |
| Rate of return | 1.97% | 2.28% | 2.84% | 2.73% | 2.67% | 2.17% | 2.4% | 2.62% |
| EPS 2 | 14.77 | 15.56 | 16.75 | 3.74 | 0.05 | 5.064 | 7.542 | 9.666 |
| Distribution rate | 37.2% | 38.6% | 38.8% | 120% | 9,000% | 90.6% | 67.3% | 57.1% |
| Net sales 1 | 7,313 | 7,499 | 7,888 | 6,735 | 6,280 | 6,423 | 6,734 | 7,030 |
| EBITDA 1 | 1,459 | 1,565 | 1,581 | 720 | 558 | 777.4 | 959.6 | 1,107 |
| EBIT 1 | 1,021 | 1,158 | 1,191 | 304 | 135 | 375.3 | 542.3 | 667.5 |
| Net income 1 | 765 | 807 | 869 | 193 | 3 | 259.7 | 368.9 | 426.5 |
| Net Debt 1 | -2,556 | -2,538 | -1,986 | -1,374 | -1,193 | -1,212 | -1,227 | -1,135 |
| Reference price 2 | 279.00 | 263.00 | 228.60 | 165.00 | 168.25 | 211.20 | 211.20 | 211.20 |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 51,771 | 51,808 | 51,836 | 51,872 | 51,767 | 51,996 | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 25/1/22 | 24/1/23 | 23/1/24 | 30/1/25 | 30/1/26 | - | - | - |
1CHF in Million2CHF
Estimates
P/E, Detailed evolution
| P/E (Y) | EV / Sales (Y) | EV / EBITDA (Y) | Dividend Yield (Y) | Capi.($) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30.75x | 2.09x | 15.33x | 0.99% | 3.84B | ||
| 24.32x | 1.62x | 13.31x | 2% | 3.56B | ||
| 21.01x | - | - | - | 619M | ||
| -12.08x | 0.39x | 7.42x | - | 254M | ||
| Average | 16.00x | 1.37x | 12.02x | 1.49% | 2.07B | |
| Weighted average by Cap. | 25.94x | 1.82x | 14.13x | 1.48% |
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Historical PBR trend
Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
- Stock Market
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- UHR Stock
- UHRN Stock
- Valuation Swatch Group
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