Projected Income Statement: Thai Oil

Forecast Balance Sheet: Thai Oil

Forecast Balance Sheet - Thai Oil
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 168,451 132,155 149,832 134,617 65,092 71,610 79,092 74,846
Change - -21.55% 13.38% -10.15% -51.65% 10.01% 10.45% -5.37%
Announcement Date 15/2/22 10/2/23 14/2/24 14/2/25 12/2/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Thai Oil

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 35,146 31,929 14,504 8,955 10,429 33,785 24,118 13,461
Change - -9.15% -54.58% -38.25% 16.45% 223.97% -28.62% -44.19%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -24,642 11,322 13,584 30,399 38,380 13,723 4,438 21,523
Change - 145.94% 19.99% 123.78% 26.25% -64.24% -67.66% 384.93%
Announcement Date 15/2/22 10/2/23 14/2/24 14/2/25 12/2/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Thai Oil

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 8.77% 9.82% 7.96% 4.5% 4.47% 12.37% 8.43% 8.73%
EBIT Margin (%) 6.62% 8.36% 6.3% 2.76% 2.43% 11.01% 6.13% 6.16%
EBT Margin (%) 4.37% 7.94% 5.17% 2.63% 4.24% 10.01% 5.13% 5.11%
Net margin (%) 3.64% 6.17% 4.14% 2.13% 3% 7.99% 4.4% 4.25%
FCF margin (%) -7.13% 2.14% 2.89% 6.51% 9.7% 2.68% 1.01% 4.48%
FCF / Net Income (%) -195.92% 34.66% 69.87% 305.26% 323.84% 33.48% 22.94% 105.45%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.76% 8.1% 4.5% 2.4% 3.49% 9.18% 3.52% 3.72%
ROE 10.61% 23.59% 11.89% 6.05% 8.7% 21.49% 9.01% 8.76%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 5.56x 2.54x 4.01x 6.41x 3.68x 1.13x 2.13x 1.78x
Debt / Free cash flow -6.84x 11.67x 11.03x 4.43x 1.7x 5.22x 17.82x 3.48x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 10.17% 6.03% 3.09% 1.92% 2.64% 6.59% 5.48% 2.8%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 115.96% 61.39% 38.82% 42.65% 58.97% 53.23% 65.04% 32.06%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -142.62% 282.02% 106.77% 29.46% 27.17% 246.19% 543.39% 62.54%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.152 20.69 12.57 17.62 21.85 20.27 13.49 16.7
Change - 301.61% -39.24% 40.11% 24.02% -7.23% -33.45% 23.84%
Dividend per Share 1 2.6 4 3.4 1.9 1.8 5.313 3.333 4.19
Change - 53.85% -15% -44.12% -5.26% 195.18% -37.28% 25.72%
Book Value Per Share 1 59.25 67.4 74.12 73.17 76.98 93.98 97.76 103.4
Change - 13.74% 9.97% -1.28% 5.2% 22.09% 4.02% 5.81%
EPS 1 6.17 15.63 8.7 4.46 6.53 17.95 8.213 8.71
Change - 153.32% -44.34% -48.74% 46.41% 174.84% -54.24% 6.05%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,040,028 2,233,836 2,233,836 2,233,836 2,233,836 2,233,836 2,233,836 2,233,836
Announcement Date 15/2/22 10/2/23 14/2/24 14/2/25 12/2/26 - - -
1THB
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 3.89x 8.49x
PBR 0.74x 0.71x
EV / Sales 0.44x 0.53x
Yield 7.62% 4.78%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Thai Oil


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Thai Oil
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Thai Oil
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
MarketScreener Ratings - Thai Oil
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
69.75THB
Average target price
74.82THB
Spread / Average Target
+7.28%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Thai Oil