Projected Income Statement: Netflix, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Netflix, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 9,365 8,295 7,405 5,999 5,400 1,755 -3,897 -10,683
Change - -11.43% -10.73% -18.99% -9.98% -67.5% -322.05% -174.13%
Announcement Date 20/1/22 19/1/23 23/1/24 21/1/25 20/1/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Netflix, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 524.6 407.7 348.6 439.5 688.2 685 716.4 744.5
Change - -22.28% -14.51% 26.1% 56.58% -0.47% 4.59% 3.91%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -158.9 1,619 6,926 6,922 9,461 13,168 14,251 16,930
Change - 1,118.62% 327.9% -0.06% 36.68% 39.18% 8.23% 18.8%
Announcement Date 20/1/22 19/1/23 23/1/24 21/1/25 20/1/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Netflix, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 22.92% 20.7% 22.69% 28.25% 31.05% 33.26% 35.57% 37.79%
EBIT Margin (%) 20.86% 17.82% 20.62% 26.71% 29.49% 31.65% 33.83% 35.81%
EBT Margin (%) 19.67% 16.65% 18.4% 25.55% 28.16% 35.5% 32.87% 35.34%
Net margin (%) 17.23% 14.21% 16.04% 22.34% 24.3% 29.89% 28.19% 30.03%
FCF margin (%) -0.54% 5.12% 20.54% 17.75% 20.94% 25.62% 24.83% 26.75%
FCF / Net Income (%) -3.11% 36.03% 128.07% 79.45% 86.16% 85.73% 88.09% 89.09%

Profitability

        
ROA 12.2% 9.64% 11.11% 17.02% 20.11% 24.38% 23.22% 22.67%
ROE 38.02% 24.53% 26.15% 38.43% 42.76% 50.13% 43.28% 45.09%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.38x 1.27x 0.97x 0.54x 0.38x 0.1x - -
Debt / Free cash flow -58.94x 5.12x 1.07x 0.87x 0.57x 0.13x - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.77% 1.29% 1.03% 1.13% 1.52% 1.33% 1.25% 1.18%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 7.71% 6.23% 4.56% 3.99% 4.91% 4.01% 3.51% 3.11%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -330.15% 25.19% 5.03% 6.35% 7.27% 5.2% 5.03% 4.4%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.0862 0.449 1.618 1.676 2.388 3.331 3.672 4.623
Change - 420.75% 260.44% 3.55% 42.51% 39.49% 10.23% 25.91%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 3.481 4.604 4.663 5.633 6.263 7.988 9.457 11.39
Change - 32.28% 1.27% 20.81% 11.19% 27.53% 18.39% 20.46%
EPS 1 1.124 0.995 1.203 1.983 2.53 3.592 3.828 4.563
Change - -11.48% 20.9% 64.84% 27.58% 41.96% 6.58% 19.2%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 4,429,522 4,450,205 4,376,797 4,274,581 4,237,323 4,210,799 4,210,799 4,210,799
Announcement Date 20/1/22 19/1/23 23/1/24 21/1/25 20/1/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 20.7x 19.4x
PBR 9.29x 7.85x
EV / Sales 6.11x 5.38x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
50
Last Close Price
74.19USD
Average target price
113.94USD
Spread / Average Target
+53.58%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise