Projected Income Statement: SAP SE

Forecast Balance Sheet: SAP SE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 3,914 4,509 -1,792 -1,695 -3,381 -7,856 -15,834 -20,814
Change - 15.2% -139.74% 5.41% -99.47% -132.36% -101.55% -31.45%
Announcement Date 27/1/22 26/1/23 23/1/24 28/1/25 29/1/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: SAP SE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 825 874 785 797 739 923.6 987.5 1,165
Change - 5.94% -10.18% 1.53% -7.28% 24.98% 6.92% 17.94%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 5,010 4,348 5,530 4,113 8,239 9,984 11,199 12,280
Change - -13.21% 27.18% -25.62% 100.32% 21.18% 12.17% 9.65%
Announcement Date 27/1/22 26/1/23 23/1/24 28/1/25 29/1/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: SAP SE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 35.93% 32.16% 32.35% 27.6% 31.88% 32.75% 33.45% 34.14%
EBIT Margin (%) 29.56% 26.02% 27.95% 23.86% 28.31% 29.59% 30.5% 31.65%
EBT Margin (%) 24.6% 10.02% 16.96% 13.94% 28.48% 28.9% 30% 31.54%
Net margin (%) 19.33% 5.55% 11.42% 9.14% 20.36% 20.37% 21.15% 21.96%
FCF margin (%) 17.99% 14.08% 17.72% 12.03% 22.39% 24.85% 24.75% 24.45%
FCF / Net Income (%) 93.07% 253.68% 155.16% 131.66% 109.97% 122.04% 116.98% 111.35%

Profitability

        
ROA 12.87% 6.35% 8.32% 7.42% 9.91% 11.25% 12.04% 12.62%
ROE 24.3% 11.52% 14.03% 11.93% 15.89% 18.13% 19.43% 20.56%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.39x 0.45x - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 0.78x 1.04x - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.96% 2.83% 2.52% 2.33% 2.01% 2.3% 2.18% 2.32%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 8.25% 8.8% 7.78% 8.45% 6.3% 7.02% 6.52% 6.79%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 16.47% 20.1% 14.2% 19.38% 8.97% 9.25% 8.82% 9.48%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.261 4.805 5.352 4.477 7.792 9.31 10.97 12.61
Change - -8.67% 11.38% -16.35% 74.06% 19.48% 17.81% 14.98%
Dividend per Share 1 1.95 2.05 2.2 2.35 - 2.694 3.042 3.451
Change - 5.13% 7.32% 6.82% - - 12.92% 13.43%
Book Value Per Share 1 33.02 34.3 36.95 38.97 38.38 41.58 45.88 50.41
Change - 3.9% 7.7% 5.48% -1.51% 8.33% 10.34% 9.88%
EPS 1 4.46 1.96 3.05 2.65 6.28 7.144 8.438 9.841
Change - -56.05% 55.61% -13.11% 136.98% 13.75% 18.11% 16.63%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,179,579 1,164,814 1,164,184 1,163,363 1,164,600 1,167,559 1,167,559 1,167,559
Announcement Date 27/1/22 26/1/23 23/1/24 28/1/25 29/1/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E Ratio 21x 17.7x
PBR 3.6x 3.26x
EV / Sales 4.16x 3.51x
Yield 1.8% 2.03%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
27
Last Close Price
149.70EUR
Average target price
214.81EUR
Spread / Average Target
+43.49%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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