Projected Income Statement: XP Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: XP Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 28,390 5,141 5,632 3,555 -10,119 -20,286 -15,461 -18,396
Change - -81.89% 9.55% -36.88% -384.64% -100.48% 23.78% -18.98%
Announcement Date 8/2/22 16/2/23 27/2/24 18/2/25 12/2/26 - - -
1BRL in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: XP Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 353 127 196.2 330.2 489.6 658 612.6 679.3
Change - -64.03% 54.54% 68.28% 48.26% 34.4% -6.9% 10.89%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -4,373 1,677 7,931 10,849 11,836 3,767 10,609 10,487
Change - 138.34% 372.96% 36.79% 9.1% -68.17% 181.63% -1.15%
Announcement Date 8/2/22 16/2/23 27/2/24 18/2/25 12/2/26 - - -
1BRL in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: XP Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 34.69% 30.45% 31.84% 34.96% 34.06% 33.39% 34.45% 34.48%
EBIT Margin (%) 32.77% 28.91% 30.15% 33.41% 32.41% 31.64% 32.52% 32.47%
EBT Margin (%) 36.28% 25.81% 26.49% 29.2% 29.59% 30.09% 31.25% 31.79%
Net margin (%) 29.72% 26.82% 26.24% 26.44% 28.07% 28.22% 27.96% 28.28%
FCF margin (%) -36.21% 12.56% 53.37% 63.52% 64.28% 18.77% 47.46% 41.89%
FCF / Net Income (%) -121.84% 46.84% 203.41% 240.28% 228.97% 66.51% 169.75% 148.12%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.05% 2.16% 2.5% 1.51% 1.39% 1.34% 1.31% 1.3%
ROE 28.36% 22.76% 21.4% 23% 23.72% 22.98% 23.07% 23.06%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 6.78x 1.26x 1.19x 0.6x - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow -6.49x 3.07x 0.71x 0.33x - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.92% 0.95% 1.32% 1.93% 2.66% 3.28% 2.74% 2.71%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 8.43% 3.12% 4.15% 5.53% 7.81% 9.82% 7.96% 7.87%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -8.07% 7.57% 2.47% 3.04% 4.14% 17.47% 5.77% 6.48%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -7.01 3.148 14.93 20.39 22.64 52.48 0.5938 11.68
Change - 144.91% 374.38% 36.52% 11.05% 131.79% -98.87% 1,866.55%
Dividend per Share 1 - - 6.459 3.774 - 7.739 8.212 8.565
Change - - - -41.57% - - 6.1% 4.31%
Book Value Per Share 1 25.77 30.67 35.46 37.13 43.71 49.31 55.72 63.02
Change - 19.04% 15.62% 4.7% 17.71% 12.81% 13.01% 13.09%
EPS 1 6.259 6.25 7.16 8.231 9.719 10.79 12.21 13.31
Change - -0.14% 14.56% 14.96% 18.07% 11.03% 13.15% 9.05%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 559,549 560,294 548,083 537,004 528,220 507,483 507,483 507,483
Announcement Date 8/2/22 16/2/23 27/2/24 18/2/25 12/2/26 - - -
1BRL
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 8.52x 7.53x
PBR 1.87x 1.65x
EV / Sales 1.32x 1.4x
Yield 8.41% 8.93%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
3
Last Close Price
91.98BRL
Average target price
117.99BRL
Spread / Average Target
+28.28%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise