Projected Income Statement: Netflix, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Netflix, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 9,365 8,295 7,405 5,999 5,400 4,879 -1,128 -13,570
Change - -11.43% -10.73% -18.99% -9.98% -9.66% -123.12% -1,103.01%
Announcement Date 20/1/22 19/1/23 23/1/24 21/1/25 20/1/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Netflix, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 524.6 407.7 348.6 439.5 688.2 763.4 753.4 794
Change - -22.28% -14.51% 26.1% 56.58% 10.93% -1.32% 5.39%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -158.9 1,619 6,926 6,922 9,461 12,966 14,270 16,732
Change - 1,118.62% 327.9% -0.06% 36.68% 37.05% 10.05% 17.25%
Announcement Date 20/1/22 19/1/23 23/1/24 21/1/25 20/1/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Netflix, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 22.92% 20.7% 22.69% 28.25% 31.05% 33.28% 35.24% 37.15%
EBIT Margin (%) 20.86% 17.82% 20.62% 26.71% 29.49% 31.51% 33.58% 35.42%
EBT Margin (%) 19.67% 16.65% 18.4% 25.55% 28.16% 35.73% 32.61% 34.73%
Net margin (%) 17.23% 14.21% 16.04% 22.34% 24.3% 29.82% 27.81% 29.37%
FCF margin (%) -0.54% 5.12% 20.54% 17.75% 20.94% 25.32% 25.03% 26.64%
FCF / Net Income (%) -3.11% 36.03% 128.07% 79.45% 86.16% 84.9% 90.03% 90.73%

Profitability

        
ROA 12.2% 9.64% 11.11% 17.02% 20.11% 24.89% 23.67% 22.86%
ROE 38.02% 24.53% 26.15% 38.43% 42.76% 52.96% 47.32% 47.73%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.38x 1.27x 0.97x 0.54x 0.38x 0.29x - -
Debt / Free cash flow -58.94x 5.12x 1.07x 0.87x 0.57x 0.38x - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.77% 1.29% 1.03% 1.13% 1.52% 1.49% 1.32% 1.26%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 7.71% 6.23% 4.56% 3.99% 4.91% 4.48% 3.75% 3.4%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -330.15% 25.19% 5.03% 6.35% 7.27% 5.89% 5.28% 4.75%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.0862 0.449 1.618 1.676 2.388 3.177 3.609 4.574
Change - 420.75% 260.44% 3.55% 42.51% 33.03% 13.6% 26.74%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 3.481 4.604 4.663 5.633 6.263 7.419 8.845 10.76
Change - 32.28% 1.27% 20.81% 11.19% 18.45% 19.22% 21.7%
EPS 1 1.124 0.995 1.203 1.983 2.53 3.558 3.809 4.555
Change - -11.48% 20.9% 64.84% 27.58% 40.64% 7.04% 19.58%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 4,429,522 4,450,205 4,376,797 4,274,581 4,237,323 4,163,940 4,163,940 4,163,940
Announcement Date 20/1/22 19/1/23 23/1/24 21/1/25 20/1/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 19.3x 18x
PBR 9.24x 7.75x
EV / Sales 5.67x 4.99x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
51
Last Close Price
68.53USD
Average target price
95.28USD
Spread / Average Target
+39.04%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise