Projected Income Statement: Volvo

Forecast Balance Sheet: Volvo

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -50,400 -61,300 -66,700 -67,200 -48,400 -57,441 -71,337 -82,523
Change - -21.63% -8.81% -0.75% 27.98% -18.68% -24.19% -15.68%
Announcement Date 28/1/22 26/1/23 26/1/24 29/1/25 28/1/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Volvo

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 18,117 20,456 23,387 17,904 25,460 24,166 22,231 24,499
Change - 12.91% 14.33% -23.44% 42.2% -5.08% -8.01% 10.2%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 15,530 12,788 11,130 28,540 20,135 32,363 39,369 41,153
Change - -17.66% -12.97% 156.42% -29.45% 60.73% 21.65% 4.53%
Announcement Date 28/1/22 26/1/23 26/1/24 29/1/25 28/1/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Volvo

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 16.05% 15.04% 17.89% 16.75% 15.59% 15.77% 16.75% 17.15%
EBIT Margin (%) 11.02% 10.66% 14.05% 12.47% 10.69% 11.56% 12.57% 12.99%
EBT Margin (%) 11.6% 9.52% 12.07% 12.76% 9.89% 11.15% 12.51% 12.96%
Net margin (%) 8.81% 6.91% 9.01% 9.56% 7.19% 8.58% 9.66% 9.94%
FCF margin (%) 4.17% 2.7% 2.01% 5.42% 4.2% 6.59% 7.46% 7.38%
FCF / Net Income (%) 47.37% 39.08% 22.34% 56.64% 58.44% 76.83% 77.18% 74.23%

Profitability

        
ROA 6.39% 5.72% 8.95% 7.16% 5.35% 7.4% 8.2% 8.1%
ROE 21.79% 23.83% 34.26% 26.74% 19.57% 23.55% 25.29% 25.26%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.87% 4.32% 4.23% 3.4% 5.31% 4.92% 4.21% 4.39%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 30.33% 28.73% 23.66% 20.28% 34.08% 31.21% 25.14% 25.62%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 116.66% 159.96% 210.13% 62.73% 126.45% 74.67% 56.47% 59.53%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 16.55 16.35 13.12 22.85 22.43 28.85 31.87 33.08
Change - -1.2% -19.76% 74.15% -1.85% 28.63% 10.49% 3.79%
Dividend per Share 1 13 14 18 18.5 13 15.39 17.97 19.24
Change - 7.69% 28.57% 2.78% -29.73% 18.39% 16.77% 7.03%
Book Value Per Share 1 69.36 80.03 87.45 95.4 87.7 95.83 104.4 112.5
Change - 15.39% 9.28% 9.09% -8.07% 9.27% 8.97% 7.72%
EPS 1 16.12 16.09 24.5 24.78 16.94 20.6 24.42 26.46
Change - -0.19% 52.27% 1.14% -31.64% 21.63% 18.53% 8.34%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,033,452 2,033,452 2,033,452 2,033,452 2,033,452 2,033,452 2,033,452 2,033,452
Announcement Date 28/1/22 26/1/23 26/1/24 29/1/25 28/1/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 16.4x 13.8x
PBR 3.52x 3.23x
EV / Sales 1.28x 1.17x
Yield 4.56% 5.32%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
21
Last Close Price
337.70SEK
Average target price
341.41SEK
Spread / Average Target
+1.10%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise