Projected Income Statement: Alstom

Forecast Balance Sheet: Alstom

Forecast Balance Sheet - Alstom
Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 2,085 2,135 2,994 522 1,258 1,198 1,081 709
Change - 2.4% 40.23% -82.57% 141% -4.77% -9.77% -34.41%
Announcement Date 11/5/22 10/5/23 8/5/24 14/5/25 13/5/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Alstom

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 428 431 485 482 567 655.4 697.3 726.2
Change - 0.7% 12.53% -0.62% 17.63% 15.59% 6.4% 4.14%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -992 199 -567 490 324 106.4 353.8 456.9
Change - 120.06% -384.92% 186.42% -33.88% -67.16% 232.52% 29.14%
Announcement Date 11/5/22 10/5/23 8/5/24 14/5/25 13/5/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Alstom

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 10.62% 10.53% 10.4% 11.09% 10.33% 8.64% 9.1% 9.72%
EBIT Margin (%) 4.96% 5.16% 5.66% 6.37% 6.09% 6.44% 6.86% 7.33%
EBT Margin (%) -1.17% -1.1% -1.44% 1.35% 1.98% 2.86% 3.9% 4.74%
Net margin (%) -3.76% -0.8% -1.75% 0.81% 1.69% 2.57% 3.27% 3.86%
FCF margin (%) -6.41% 1.21% -3.22% 2.65% 1.69% 0.52% 1.65% 2.04%
FCF / Net Income (%) 170.74% -150.76% 183.5% 328.86% 100% 20.39% 50.48% 52.9%

Profitability

        
ROA 1.21% 0.94% 0.14% 1.45% 0.93% 1.75% 2.26% 2.65%
ROE 3.98% 3.26% 0.5% 4.78% 3.07% 6.16% 7.17% 7.79%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.27x 1.23x 1.63x 0.25x 0.64x 0.68x 0.55x 0.33x
Debt / Free cash flow -2.1x 10.73x -5.28x 1.07x 3.88x 11.26x 3.06x 1.55x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.77% 2.61% 2.75% 2.61% 2.96% 3.23% 3.25% 3.25%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 26.05% 24.8% 26.46% 23.5% 28.62% 37.4% 35.77% 33.39%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -43.15% 216.58% -85.54% 98.37% 175% 615.95% 197.09% 158.94%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -1.541 1.604 -0.2132 2.152 1.915 1.483 2.486 3.252
Change - 204.07% -113.29% 1,109.47% -11.04% -22.53% 67.62% 30.82%
Dividend per Share 1 0.25 0.25 - - - 0.2257 0.362 0.4767
Change - 0% - - - - 60.41% 31.68%
Book Value Per Share 1 23.86 23.96 22.57 22.67 22.91 24.32 25.64 27.4
Change - 0.39% -5.81% 0.48% 1.06% 6.13% 5.44% 6.86%
EPS 1 -1.56 -0.35 -0.81 0.31 0.6 1.098 1.467 1.805
Change - 77.56% -131.43% 138.27% 93.55% 82.97% 33.61% 23.04%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 373,392 380,453 384,291 461,511 462,030 462,616 462,616 462,616
Announcement Date 11/5/22 10/5/23 8/5/24 14/5/25 13/5/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 14.4x 10.8x
PBR 0.65x 0.62x
EV / Sales 0.42x 0.39x
Yield 1.43% 2.29%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Alstom


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Alstom
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Alstom
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Ratings Surperformance© - Alstom
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
15.60EUR
Average target price
20.70EUR
Spread / Average Target
+32.69%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Alstom